After official figures revealed zero growth in GDP in August, the EY Item Club said the economy would struggle to recover in the final months of the year owing to the increasing likelihood of Britain crashing out of the EU in less than six months’ time.
The group of economists, which is the only non-government forecasting organisation to use the Treasury modelling of the economy, said it had downgraded its growth forecast for this year and next as a consequence.
文本选自:The Guardian(卫报)
作者:Richard Partington
原文标题:UK economy heading for worst year since crash, say economists
原文发布时间:14 October 2018
背景知识:
文艺复兴以来,英国逐步崛起,英欧差距扩大,英国人觉得自己有欧陆无法比拟的优越性,加上英国是岛国,有明显的地理优势,觉得应该与逐步衰弱的欧盟脱离开来。英国是历史强国,有传统的离心倾向,独立性强。英镑货币比较坚挺,而欧元区的债务危机使英国更像置身事外,以免被拖累。欧盟面临的经济危机,很大程度影响了英国的经济利益。英国迫切脱离欧盟,缓解经济压力。
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